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Authors:

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Monthly:

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Recent Posts:

  • Monthly Valuation Update
  • FAANGs Dominate S&P 500
  • Risk-On or Risk-Off?
  • NASDAQ’s Jill Malandrino Interviews Steve Blumenthal
  • Recession Watch Indicators
  • The Debt Bubble and Interest Rate Trigger
  • Equity Market Valuations and Probable Forward Returns
  • Blumenthal’s 2018 Market Outlook
  • Blumenthal Interviewed by Nasdaq
  • Bob Rubin Interviews David Swensen
  • “Three Steps and a Stumble”
  • U.S. Household Asset Allocation (Ned Davis Research)
  • “Greed, Fear, and Fallacy”
  • Debt and Demographics – Two Powerful Ds
  • Trend Following – Two Actionable Ideas
  • Volatility: Calm Before the Storm?
  • Recessions by Decades – Will This be the First Without One?
  • Monthly Valuation Update
  • “The S&P 500: Just Say No”
  • Monthly Valuation Review
  • “Markets in a Post-Volatility World”
  • Charts of the Week
  • Help Reading the Tea Leaves
  • “A Century of Evidence on Trend-Following Investing”
  • What does the latest Fed rate increase mean for stocks?
  • Notes from SIC 2017 — Updated
  • Dalio: The near term looks good, longer term looks scary
  • Animal Spirits and the “Fear Gauge”
  • “Risk On” — U.S. Equity Market Capital Flows
  • Market Valuation & Forward Returns Update
  • Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged; Expresses Confidence in Economy
  • “The Incredible Shrinking Universe of Stocks”
  • Blumenthal Appears on Fox Business News
  • Charts of the Week
  • Charts of the Week
  • Charts of the Week
  • “Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed”
  • Beware: Rising Rate Environment
  • A Look at U.S. Domestic Debt
  • College Endowment Returns Were Negative in 2016 and Negative Since 2007
  • Rising Inflation Pressures and What it Means to Your Bond Allocations
  • A Look at Risk-Return
  • Inflation Risk is High
  • 2017 Predictions
  • The Bond Market is Facing a “Perfect Storm”
  • Update: CalPERS Expected to Formally Reduce Return Forecasts
  • Real Implications of Reduced Pension Fund Returns
  • Debt — Here, There and Everywhere
  • Monthly Valuation Review
  • Data on the DJIA after Republican Sweeps
  • Probabilities of U.S. Recession, Global Recession and Inflation
  • Dalio: Reflections on the Trump Presidency, One Week after the Election
  • Paul Tudor Jones’ 200-Day Moving Average Rule
  • Monthly Market Valuation Review
  • Blumenthal’s Best Bets on TheStreet
  • Blumenthal Appears on FOX Business
  • Dalio: Are We at the End of a Long-Term Debt Cycle?
  • The Trend is Your Friend
  • The Quest for Yield
  • Market Valuations Remain Excessively High, Probable Forward Returns to be Muted
  • Sprechen sie risk?
  • Bloomberg Markets Most Influential Summit Recap
  • Audio Links to Morningstar ETF Conference Panels
  • Best Ideas (Part II) from the Morningstar ETF Conference
  • Global Debt Jubilee?
  • Best Ideas from the Morningstar ETF Conference
  • Elliott Management’s Paul Singer Warns of “Dangerous Time” in Global Financial Markets
  • Mauldin’s “Monetary Mountain Madness”
  • Trade Signals – Sentiment Better, Risk On Remains
  • Current High Valuations Suggest Low 10-Year Returns for Stocks
  • Why I Don’t Follow Consensus Earnings Estimates
  • Trade Signals – Overvalued, Sentiment Remains in Bullish Extreme (S/T Bearish for Stocks), Cyclical Bull Uptrend
  • The slow, long expansion
  • Trade Signals For Equities, Fixed, Liquid Alts
  • Everyone Is In The Dark
  • Trade Signals for Equity, Fixed, Liquid Alts
  • What Would Janet Do?
  • Market Today Feels Like 1997
  • Trend Following Works!
  • The Reality of Forward Returns
  • Zweig Bond Model A Buy
  • The Quest For Yield
  • Trade Signals – Strength in Health Care, Telecom And Fixed Income
  • High Yield Bond Opportunity On The Horizon
  • Trade Signals – Investor Sentiment Reflects Extreme Optimism
  • Zweig Bond Model Signals What ETFs To Be In
  • Use Caution Chasing Yield
  • Brexit – Italian Banks
  • Trade Signals: All-Time Record High
  • Gold Remains Bullish, Equity Valuations High
  • Trade Signals – A Great First Half for Long Duration Bonds and High Yield
  • CMG’s Total Portfolio Solution Whitepaper Free Download
  • On My Radar: Potential Sovereign Debt Crisis Originating in Europe
  • Trade Signals – Oversold, Extreme Pessimism ST Bullish, Risk High
  • CMG On Brexit
  • Look For High Yield Opportunity Ahead
  • El-Erian: Cash Is More Valuable Than Ever
  • CMG Mid-Year Market Review
  • ETF.com Portfolio X-Ray of CMG Opportunistic All Asset Strategy
  • Trade Signals: Gold Shines, HY Sells, S & P Lags

CMG ADVISOR RESOURCES

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  • Trend Following Works!

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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION

Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended and/or undertaken by CMG Capital Management Group, Inc (or any of its related entities-together "CMG") will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful. No portion of the content should be construed as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. References to specific securities, investment programs or funds are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
Certain portions of the content may contain a discussion of, and/or provide access to, opinions and/or recommendations of CMG (and those of other investment and non-investment professionals) as of a specific prior date. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, such discussion may no longer be reflective of current recommendations or opinions. Derivatives and options strategies are not suitable for every investor, may involve a high degree of risk, and may be appropriate investments only for sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved. Moreover, you should not assume that any discussion or information contained herein serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from CMG or the professional advisors of your choosing. To the extent that a reader has any questions regarding the applicability of any specific issue discussed above to his/her individual situation, he/she is encouraged to consult with the professional advisors of his/her choosing. CMG is neither a law firm nor a certified public accounting firm and no portion of the newsletter content should be construed as legal or accounting advice.
This presentation does not discuss, directly or indirectly, the amount of the profits or losses, realized or unrealized, by any CMG client from any specific funds or securities. Please note: In the event that CMG references performance results for an actual CMG portfolio, the results are reported net of advisory fees and inclusive of dividends. The performance referenced is that as determined and/or provided directly by the referenced funds and/or publishers, have not been independently verified, and do not reflect the performance of any specific CMG client. CMG clients may have experienced materially different performance based upon various factors during the corresponding time periods.
Hypothetical Presentations: To the extent that any portion of the content reflects hypothetical results that were achieved by means of the retroactive application of a back-tested model, such results have inherent limitations, including: (1) the model results do not reflect the results of actual trading using client assets, but were achieved by means of the retroactive application of the referenced models, certain aspects of which may have been designed with the benefit of hindsight; (2) back-tested performance may not reflect the impact that any material market or economic factors might have had on the adviser’s use of the model if the model had been used during the period to actually mange client assets; and, (3) CMG’s clients may have experienced investment results during the corresponding time periods that were materially different from those portrayed in the model. Please Also Note: Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Therefore, no current or prospective client should assume that future performance will be profitable, or equal to any corresponding historical index. (i.e. S&P 500 Total Return or Dow Jones Wilshire U.S. 5000 Total Market Index) is also disclosed. For example, the S&P 500 Composite Total Return Index (the “S&P”) is a market capitalization-weighted index of 500 widely held stocks often used as a proxy for the stock market. Standard & Poor’s chooses the member companies for the S&P based on market size, liquidity, and industry group representation. Included are the common stocks of industrial, financial, utility, and transportation companies. The historical performance results of the S&P (and those of or all indices) and the model results do not reflect the deduction of transaction and custodial charges, nor the deduction of an investment management fee, the incurrence of which would have the effect of decreasing indicated historical performance results. For example, the deduction combined annual advisory and transaction fees of 1.00% over a 10 year period would decrease a 10% gross return to an 8.9% net return. The S&P is not an index into which an investor can directly invest. The historical S&P performance results (and those of all other indices) are provided exclusively for comparison purposes only, so as to provide general comparative information to assist an individual in determining whether the performance of a specific portfolio or model meets, or continues to meet, his/her investment objective(s). A corresponding description of the other comparative indices, are available from CMG upon request. It should not be assumed that any CMG holdings will correspond directly to any such comparative index. The model and indices performance results do not reflect the impact of taxes. CMG portfolios may be more or less volatile than the reflective indices and/or models.
In the event that there has been a change in an individual's investment objective or financial situation, he/she is encouraged to consult with his/her investment professionals.
Written Disclosure Statement. CMG is an SEC registered investment adviser principally located in King of Prussia, PA. Stephen B. Blumenthal is CMG's founder and CEO. Please note: The above views are those of CMG and its CEO, Stephen Blumenthal, and do not reflect those of any sub-advisor that CMG may engage to manage any CMG strategy. A copy of CMG's current written disclosure statement discussing advisory services and fees is available upon request or via CMG's internet web site at (http://www.cmgwealth.com/disclosures/advs).