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Helicopter Money Next?

Posted on 03.13.16 |

Mario Draghi ECBThe big news this week is Mario Draghi and the European Central Bank (ECB).  Let’s look at that, but first let’s see if we can take a 30,000 foot view at the problem and how the markets might behave going forward.

Collectively, the number one global problem is DEBT.  Can we grow our collective incomes in a healthy way that we are able to cover our debts?  For long periods of time, debt helps to fuel growth but at some point it becomes too big.  Think in terms of what you earn and what you have to spend after you pay your bills.  When you have too much debt and more of your income goes to pay off your debt, you have less to spend on other things.  Your economy slows.

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Categories: Tactical Investment Strategies Tags: Draghi, ECB, On My Radar, QE, Steve Blumenthal

Is the European Economy Turning Japanese?

Posted on 06.11.14 |

PJ Grzywacz President, Chief Compliance Officer, CMG Capital Management Group

PJ Grzywacz
President & CCO
CMG

“I’m turning Japanese, I think I’m turning Japanese, I really think so.”

The English band, the Vapors, was an 80s one hit wonder with the song “Turning Japanese.”  I was never a fan but the tune seems to be getting renewed airplay with a very narrow audience these days: central bankers and economic policy makers.  The song has little to do with Japan, or Asia for that matter, aside from a clever oriental riff (it’s actually about love).  That hasn’t stopped policy makers from taking the chorus line at face value: namely the risk of their economy “turning Japanese”.

Turning Japanese in today’s macroeconomic environment means that your country (or block of countries) is at risk of deflation and if action is not taken quickly and decisively, that risk can turn into a 20 year battle, just like in Japan.

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Categories: Global Economy Tags: Deflation, Draghi, ECB, negative interest rates, PJ Grzywacz

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